Nets vs Nuggets prediction, odds, line, start time: 2023 NBA picks, March 12 best bets from proven model

The Denver Nuggets host the Brooklyn Nets for an afternoon Sunday. Denver is 46-21, leading the Western Conference, and the Nuggets are 30-5 at home. Brooklyn is 38-29 overall, including four wins in the last five games and 19-17 in road contests. Zeke Nnaji (shoulder) and Collin Gillespie (leg) are out for the Nuggets. Ben Simmons (knee) is out for the Nets.

Tipoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET in Denver. Caesars Sportsbook lists Denver as the 9.5-point favorite, while the plus/minus, or total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 230.5 in the latest Nets vs. Nuggets odds. Before making Nuggets vs Nets picks, you’ll want to see NBA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has brought in well over $10,000 in player profits from $100 on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four seasons. The supermodel enters Week 21 of the 2022-23 NBA season with a stunning 61-30 score on all NBA top picks this season, netting nearly $2,700. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set his sights on the Nets against the Nuggets and has just locked down his picks and NBA predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Nuggets vs Nets:

  • Spread Nets vs Nuggets: Nuggets -9.5
  • Nets vs. Nuggets over/under: 230.5 points
  • Nets vs. Nuggets money line: Nuggets -400, Nets +310
  • BKN: Nets are 20-16 ATS in road games
  • DEN: Nuggets are 22-12-1 ATS in home games
  • Nets vs. Nuggets picks: See the picks on SportsLine

Featured game | Denver Nuggets vs. Brooklyn Nets

Why nets can cover

Brooklyn is played by Mikal Bridges, who is in the middle of a hot streak. The talented winger is averaging 25.8 points per game in 12 appearances for the Nets, and Bridges is shooting 51.4% from the field and 49.2% from 3-point range. Brooklyn’s offense is above average for the season, scoring over 1.14 points per possession, and the Nets have terrific shooting efficiency. The Nets are in the top three in the NBA in field goal percentage (49.3%) and 3-point percentage (38.5%), with a top-eight rating in free throw accuracy (80 .0%).

Brooklyn has also been playing well on defense these past few days, giving up less than 1.02 points per possession over the past five games. The Nets lead the NBA with 6.4 blocked shots per game, and Brooklyn is in the top five in the league in field goal percentage allowed (46.2%), 2-point percentage allowed (51.4 %) and authorized assists (23.1 per game) .

Why the Nuggets can cover

Denver is the best home team in the NBA this season. The Nuggets are 30-5 at Ball Arena and Denver outscores the opposition by 10.6 points per 100 possessions in home games. Denver has an undeniable offense, but the Nuggets have clear defensive strengths as well. Denver is in the NBA’s top 10 in 3-point defense, defensive rebounding, free throw prevention and steals per game this season. Brooklyn is last in the league in offensive rebound rate (22.5%), and the Nets are in the bottom five in points in the paint (44.4 per game) and free throw attempts (21, 6 per game).

On the other side, Denver leads the NBA in field goal percentage (50.8%), and the Nuggets are in the top three in the league in points per possession (1.17), 3-point accuracy ( 38.9%), 2-point accuracy (57.5%) and assists (29.3 per game). The Nuggets also average more than 16 quick break points and 54 points in the paint per game, consistently winning by the margins.

How to make Nuggets vs Nets picks

SportsLine’s model leans into the total, projecting a combined 238 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins the Nets against the Nuggets? And which side of the spread hits well in more than 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you should jump on, all from the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.

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